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President Trump Approval Falls to 37% Ahead of Midterms
November 1, 2026 · 3 sources
Millions of Americans face a nervous test of the nation's political direction as Tuesday's midterm elections arrive under the weight of rising household costs and an unpopular war with Iran. President Trump enters the cycle facing a sharp drop in his approval rating, which slumped from fifty-two percent early last year down to thirty-seven percent today. Most historical precedent points to severe losses for the party in power, with the president's side losing an average of twenty-six seats in midterms and even more when approval falls below fifty percent. The economic pinch hits regular voters hard through lagging wages, higher interest rates, and soaring gas prices, while wealthy portfolios thrive on AI company stocks. The political map reflects these pressures through mid-decade redistricting that netted Republicans an estimated eight-seat advantage, yet Democrats still remain favored to reclaim the House and sit within striking distance of the Senate. Steve Kornacki prepares for thirteen uninterrupted hours of election night coverage behind a ninety-six-inch touchscreen in New York City, hunting for precinct-level clues across competitive states like Michigan. Observers warn that tight margins in key Senate races could leave final control unsettled for days or even weeks.