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Cook Political Report Lists Five Toss-Up Senate Races

October 30, 2026 · 2 sources

Democrats need four net seats to flip the Senate as the war in Iran completely scrambles races in deep red states. According to the Cook Political Report, toss-up contests now stretch across Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas. The landscape shifted dramatically when North Carolina moved to a likely flip for Democrats, and Georgia became a likely hold. Meanwhile, the Alaska race sparked a state investigation into claims that Democratic operatives tried to recruit a spoiler candidate sharing the exact name of Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan. The National Republican Senatorial Committee blasted the move as a criminal conspiracy to defraud voters. Except the state's election law experts found no applicable laws against the recruit, even if the conduct crosses ethical lines.

Cook Political Report Lists Five Toss-Up Senate Races